Early risk factors for metabolic dysfunction in young people with major mood disorders: Longitudinal path analysis of a prospective birth cohort using structural equation modelling.

ABSTRACT

Objectives Lifestyle interventions targeting weight loss currently show limited benefits for individuals with major mood disorders. Sleep-wake disturbances are prevalent in youth with mood disorders and linked to metabolic dysfunction. This study evaluates whether sleep-wake disturbance is a driver of metabolic dysfunction for individuals with major mood disorders, as compared to the existing theory that weight gain is the main contributor.

Design Longitudinal cohort study in 1712 individuals aged 21 to 30 years. Spearmans’ correlation coefficients between depressive symptoms, sleep-wake cycle disturbance, and metabolic variables at 21 and 30 years. Structural equation modelling explored: 1. A cross-lagged effects model of depressive symptoms, sleep-wake cycle disturbance and body mass index (BMI), and 2. A parallel mediation model comparing two indirect pathways between depressive symptoms at 21 years and HOMA2-IR (a measure of insulin-glucose homeostasis) at 30 years through sleep-wake disturbance and BMI.

Results We found a small correlation between depressive symptoms at 21 and HOMA2-IR at 30 (r=0.07, p<0.01). In the mediation model, the direct relationship between depressive symptoms at 21 and HOMA2-IR at 30 was no longer significant but there was a small total relationship (B=0.05, p<0.05) and a significant indirect pathway through sleep-wake disturbance (B=0.01, p<0.05). Although not a significant mediator, BMI at 30 was strongly related to HOMA2-IR (B=0.44, p <0.001).

Conclusion In this study, BMI was not a key mediator of the relationship between depressive symptoms and HOMA2-IR, while sleep-wake cycle disturbance appeared to play a small role. Work is needed in clinical populations with more robust measures of sleep-wake disturbance.

Competing Interest Statement

EMS COI: Associate Professor Elizabeth Scott is a Principal Research Fellow at the Brain and Mind Centre University of Sydney a Consultant Psychiatrist and Adjunct Clinical Professor at the School of Medicine University of Notre Dame. She previously served as the Discipline Leader for Adult Mental Health at Notre Dame until January 2025. In addition she is a member of Medibanks Medical and Mental Health Reference Groups. A/Prof Scott has also delivered educational seminars on the clinical management of depressive disorders receiving honoraria from pharmaceutical companies including Servier Janssen and Eli Lilly. Moreover she has contributed to a national advisory board for Pfizers antidepressant Pristiq and served as the National Coordinator for an antidepressant trial sponsored by Servier IBH COI: Professor Hickie is a Professor of Psychiatry and the Co-Director of Health and Policy Brain and Mind Centre University of Sydney. He has led major public health and health service development in Australia particularly focusing on early intervention for young people with depression suicidal thoughts and behaviours and complex mood disorders. He is active in the development through codesign implementation and continuous evaluation of new health information and personal monitoring technologies to drive highly-personalised and measurement-based care. He holds a 3.2% equity share in Innowell Pty Ltd that is focused on digital transformation of mental health services

Funding Statement

JJC is supported by a NHMRC Emerging Leadership Fellowship (2008196); IBH is supported by a NHMRC Leadership L3 Fellowship (2016346); FI is funded by a NHMRC Emerging Leadership Fellowship (2018157). SM is supported by the Cottle Family Fellowship in Youth Mental Health. WC and MKC were supported by the Australian Government Research Training Program (RTP) Scholarship.

Author Declarations

I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.

Yes

The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:

The University of Queensland Human Research Ethics Committee (mothers: B/555/SS/01/NHMRC - 30/11/2001, offspring: B/660/SS/01/NHMRC - 20/12/2001) and The Mater Human Research Ethics Committee (mothers: 505A - 29/6/2002, offspring: 506A - 15/07/2002).

I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals.

Yes

I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).

Yes

I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.

Yes

Data Availability

All data produced in the present study are available upon reasonable request to the authors

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

Data from the Mater-University of Queensland Study of Pregnancy may be available on request.

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