Available online 18 September 2023, 100620

The excess of deaths from CVDs follows extreme air temperature events

The high-risk mortality clusters were located in the peripheric districts of the city

Clusters of stroke and ischemic stroke deaths occurred during or after heatwaves

Clusters of ischemic heart diseases deaths occurred during or after cold spells

People aged 65 and above are not equally vulnerable to extreme air temperature events

The effects extreme air temperature events are related with an increase in cardiovascular mortality among vulnerable groups worldwide. Therefore, we identify spatiotemporal mortality clusters associated with diseases of the cardiovascular system among people ≥ 65 years in São Paulo, from 2006 to 2015, and investigate whether high-risk mortality clusters occurred during or following extreme air temperature events. To detect the clusters, we used daily mortality data and a retrospective space-time scan analysis with a discrete Poisson model. Extreme air temperature events were defined by daily mean temperatures, below the 10th percentile for cold spells and above the 90th percentile for heatwaves, with two or more consecutive days. We found statistically significant high-risk mortality clusters located in the peripheral areas. The spatiotemporal clusters of risk areas for cardiovascular and ischemic heart disease occurred during or following cold spell events, whereas those for stroke and ischemic stroke events were related to heatwaves.

heatwaves

cold spells

spatio-temporal clusters

cardiovascular diseases

mortality

São Paulo

The authors do not have permission to share data.

© 2023 Published by Elsevier Ltd.