Z-Drug Use and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis of Observational Cohort Studies

Introduction

Insomnia is one of the most common symptoms that lead people to hospital. In the United States, more than 5 million people visit hospitals each year for insomnia management.1 Estimates of the prevalence of insomnia vary from 10% to 40%, depending on how insomnia is defined.2–7 In the results of a 2002 Korean study on the prevalence of insomnia, the prevalence according to the criteria for complaining of insomnia symptoms 3 or more times a week was 17%, and the prevalence according to DSM-IV insomnia disorder was 5%. As in North America and European countries, insomnia is widespread in Korea.8 In addition, the prevalence of insomnia has recently been increasing worldwide.9–12

Treatment options for chronic insomnia include cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) and pharmacotherapy. Medications approved for insomnia disorder are the following: benzodiazepine receptor agonists, dual orexin receptor agonists, histamine receptor antagonists, melatonin receptor agonist. Among the medications, zolpidem, zopiclone, eszopiclone, and zaleplon are the non-benzodiazepine benzodiazepine receptor agonist, and they are also known as z-drugs. Z-drugs selectively bind to the α-1 subunit of the GABAA receptor and have a shorter half-life than benzodiazepines (BZDs).13 For these reasons, z-drugs were considered to be safer than BZDs because they were less likely to cause drug dependence, abuse, withdrawal symptoms, and other side effects. However, adverse effects of z-drugs are gradually being reported. The adverse effects of z-drugs include not only the adverse effects of BZDs but also decreased cognitive and memory abilities, falls, fractures, traffic accidents, and infections. Furthermore, a few studies have begun to discuss that its use may increase mortality.14,15

As such, there is controversy about the various adverse effects of z-drugs; however, studies have reported inconsistent results to date on whether z-drug use increases mortality. Previous meta-analyses16,17 assessed z-drugs only as part of subgroup analyses, providing limited evidence on their independent effect. Therefore, a focused evaluation of mortality risk specifically associated with z-drug use remains needed. Thus, this meta-analysis aimed to investigate the relations between z-drug use and all-cause mortality.

MethodsSearch Strategy

This study followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.18 Three databases, including Pubmed, Embase, and SCOPUS, were searched through 14 March, 2025. We searched for observational studies analyzing the association between z-drug use and all-cause mortality using the keywords “z-drug” OR “zolpidem” OR “zopiclone” OR “eszopiclone” OR “zaleplon” AND “mortality” (Appendix 1). All authors independently reviewed the retrieved articles. Only observational studies in humans written in English were included. Duplicated studies, in-vitro or in-vivo studies, and animal studies were excluded. Randomized controlled trials were also excluded because they generally lack the long-term real-world exposure needed to evaluate mortality risk, which was the primary focus of this study. We have registered the method at INPLASY and is also available on (https://inplasy.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/INPLASY-Protocol-7587.pdf).

Selection Criteria

The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) human studies; (2) observational cohort studies; (3) studies reporting the association between z-drug use and mortality; (4) studies providing calculable data and effects estimates such as odds ratios (ORs), hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), or p-values; and (5) studies written in English.

The exclusion criteria were as follows: (1) duplicated studies; (2) randomized controlled studies; (3) in-vitro, in-vivo, and animal studies; (4) reviews, conference abstracts, posters, notes; (5) studies with inadequate available data.

Data Extraction and Quality Assessment

Relevant data were extracted from selected articles, including age, sex, z-drug exposure, mortality outcome (including HR and 95% CI), and details about the study (study design, location, follow-up periods, number of participants, and study populations).

The quality of the study was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS).19 The NOS is a tool to evaluate the quality of case-control studies and cohort studies. In this meta-analysis, only cohort studies were included, and the cohort study quality rating scale was used. A cohort study can be evaluated with a total of 8 items for cohort selection, comparability, and outcome evaluation. For each item, a star is given if the evidence is of high quality (except for the comparability item, a maximum of two stars can be given), resulting in a total of 0–9 stars. The average NOS value of the included studies was 7.3. If the NOS of each study was higher than 7.3, it was classified as high-quality, and conversely, when it was low, it was classified as low-quality. Because the NOS has no universally accepted cutoff and the included studies showed a narrow distribution of scores, we used the mean NOS score (7.33) as a data-driven threshold to classify studies into high- and low-quality groups.

Data Synthesis and Analysis

Statistical analyses were performed using the Comprehensive Meta-Analysis ver.2.2.064 software (Biostat Inc., Englewood, NJ, USA), with statistical significance set as p<0.05. Hazard ratios (HRs) were used as the sole effect measure because all included studies reported HRs. We calculated pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to summarize the results of studies on whether z-drug use increases all-cause mortality using the Dersimonian and Laird random effects model.20 We assessed the degree of heterogeneity among the selected studies by the χ2-based Cochrane Q test and Inconsistency score (I2). A p-value less than 0.10 from the χ2-based Cochrane Q test indicates a significant heterogeneity. Because heterogeneity was substantial, we conducted leave-one-out sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses by region, follow-up duration, and study quality to further assess variability.

A series of sensitivity analysis and subgroup analysis were also performed. Sensitivity analysis was done by excluding each included study one by one, and the pooled hazard ratios after removing each study were compared. In addition, subgroup analyzes were performed according to Western or Eastern countries, study duration of more than or less than 5 years, and low or high study quality. Funnel plot, Begg and Mazumdar’s rank correlation test, and Egger’s regression test were used for evaluating potential publication bias.21 We observed the asymmetry of the funnel plot and calculated its degree. When p<0.05, it was considered that there was a significant publication bias. Results of individual studies and pooled estimates were visually presented using forest plots. Study characteristics and quality assessments were summarized in tables.

ResultsStudy Selection

A total of 510 studies were retrieved from three databases: Pubmed, SCOPUS, and Embase. Excluding 129 duplicated studies, full-text review was performed on the remaining 30 studies after screening through title and abstract.

Excluding 129 duplicated studies, screening was done based on the title and abstract, and then full-text review was performed on the remaining 30 articles. Four studies did not meet the inclusion criteria, five studies did not have suitable results for analysis, 11 studies corresponded to review, conference abstract, poster, note, and short survey, respectively, and the full text of 1 study could not be found. As a result, nine studies were used for meta-analysis, excluding 21 studies. The detailed process of study selection is shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1 Flow diagram of the literature search and selection of studies for the meta-analysis.

All included studies were, incidentally, cohort studies, of which three were prospective cohort studies16,22,23 and six were retrospective cohort studies.24–29 Three studies were conducted in the United States,16,22,23 three in the United Kingdom,24,28,29 one in Korea,25 one in Sweden,26 and one in Taiwan.27 A total of 2,018,397 subjects from the nine studies were included, with an average age of 47.25 years, and the average follow-up period varied from 2.5 to 14 years. The detailed characteristics of the 9 articles used in the meta-analysis are shown in Table 1.

Table 1 Characteristics of Included Studies

Z- Drug Use and the All-Cause Mortality

The pooled HR derived from the meta-analysis using the random-effects model was 1.600 (Figure 2). The 95% confidence interval was in the statistically significant range of 1.027 to 2.491, suggesting that there is a significant positive correlation between z-drug use and all-cause mortality. That is, z-drug use is associated with significantly increased all-cause mortality. However, substantial heterogeneity was apparent with an I2 of 99.642% and a p-value of less than 0.001.

Figure 2 Forest plot of the association of z-drug use and the all-cause mortality.

Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity analysis was performed to check if there is a specific study that has a significant effect on research effectiveness and heterogeneity. Each study included in the meta-analysis was excluded one by one to calculate the hazard ratio. There was no significant change in HRs (Table 2), so it was confirmed that there was no study that significantly biased the results.

Table 2 Sensitivity Analysis by Excluding Each Study One-by-One

Subgroup Analysis

A subgroup analysis was performed to check whether there are any characteristics that affect heterogeneity. Results were analyzed according to Western-Eastern countries, study periods over or under 5 years, and low or high study quality (Table 3).

Table 3 Subgroup Analysis According to Country, Follow-Up Periods, Quality of Study

Pooled analysis of the seven studies performed in three Western countries (the United States, the United Kingdom, Sweden) showed HR 1.780 (95% CI: 0.564–2.223), and pooled analysis of the 2 studies performed in two Asian countries (Korea, Taiwan) showed HR 1.120 (95% CI: 0.564–2.223). Both groups demonstrated a positive association between z-drug use and all-cause mortality, but it was statistically significant only in the Western group.

According to the follow-up period of each study, the follow-up period was shorter (<5 years) in five studies, and it was longer (>5 years) in four studies. The association between z-drug use and all-cause mortality was not statistically significant in both groups with shorter follow-up period (HR 1.653; 95% CI 0.796–3.432) and longer follow-up period (HR 1.533; 95% CI: 0.809–2.905).

We also conducted a subgroup analysis by quality of study. The mean quality of study calculated by Newcastle Ottawa Scale (NOS) was 7.3 among the included studies (Supplementary Table 1). Studies with NOS of 7.3 or higher were considered high quality, whereas those with NOS of less than 7.3 were considered low quality. Four high quality studies did not show statistically significant result (HR 1.533; 95% CI: 0.809–2.905), and five low quality studies also showed non-statistically significant result (HR 1.653; 95% CI: 0.796–3.432).

Although most results were not statistically significant, a consistent trend was observed for an increase in all-cause mortality with z-drug use, regardless of country, study duration, or study quality.

Publication Bias

Funnel plot, Egger’s test for a regression intercept, and Begg and Mazumdar’s rank correlation test were performed to find out publication bias. As shown in Figure 3, no significant asymmetry was observed in the funnel plot. Also, both the Egger’s test and Begg’s test showed insignificant results (Egger’s test: p-value=0.072; Begg’s test: p-value=0.251), confirming that there was no significant publication bias.

Figure 3 Funnel plot for publication bia.

Discussion

This study is a meta-analysis evaluating the association between z-drug use and all-cause mortality. When a total of 9 studies and 2,018,397 subjects were analyzed, z-drug use significantly increased all-cause mortality. The association remained even in the sensitivity analysis in which included studies were removed one by one, and in the subgroup analysis conducted according to country, study period, and study quality. Thus, our findings indicate that z-drug use is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality.

Notably, although the heterogeneity among studies was substantial (I2 = 99.642%), the leave-one-out sensitivity analysis revealed no single study that disproportionately influenced the pooled hazard ratio. This suggests that the heterogeneity may stem from the accumulation of moderate between-study differences—such as variations in study populations, exposure definitions, or analytical adjustments—rather than the presence of an extreme outlier. Moreover, individual study findings were not entirely consistent, with some reporting higher and others lower mortality risks, likely reflecting differences in population characteristics, baseline risk profiles, and the extent of confounder adjustment. This pattern of dispersed heterogeneity is not uncommon in meta-analyses of observational studies and may reflect the real-world variability in clinical settings. Nevertheless, the consistent direction of effect across sensitivity and subgroup analyses supports the robustness of our findings.

Differences in baseline prevalence of suicidal behavior may have contributed to the unexplained heterogeneity. Given its association with both z-drug use and mortality, residual confounding related to unmeasured psychiatric comorbidities and polypharmacy likely remains. Some degree of confounding by indication is possible, as underlying insomnia and psychiatric conditions are themselves associated with mortality and were not uniformly adjusted across studies. Thus, while an association was observed, cautious interpretation is warranted. As most studies lacked detailed psychiatric data, further analysis was not feasible. Future research should incorporate mental health variables to better clarify this relationship.

In this study, the relationship between z-drug use and all-cause mortality showed a significant positive correlation with HR 1.600. This is similar to a previous study reporting HR 1.73 (95% CI: 0.95–3.16), which was a meta-analysis of hypnotic use and mortality published in 2016.17 Although the HR was similar to our study, the previous study did not show a statistically significant association between z-drug use and all-cause mortality. The previous study included only five studies, and the result was the pooled effect of mortality risk associated with z-drug use performed as a sub-analysis. To our knowledge, this study provides the most up-to-date and focused synthesis on z-drug use and all-cause mortality.

The mechanism by which z-drug use causes higher mortality is not yet fully understood, but some possible explanations include: First, z-drug use is associated with increased risk for falls, fractures, and accidents.30–32 Falls can lead to upper extremity and hip fractures, which are strongly associated with disability, morbidity and mortality.33 The association can be mainly explained by the residual effect of z-drug that may cause drowsiness, delayed reaction time, and impaired balance.34,35 Complex sleep behaviors, including sleep-driving and sleep-walking, can be another possible explanation.36 The complex sleep behavior may be due to the fact that z-drugs have less muscle-relaxing and anticonvulsant effects than BZDs because of the selective binding to the GABAA α-1 subunit.37 Consequently, z-drug use can increase the risk of death through these events. Second, z-drug use may be less risky than BZDs,38 but can increase the risk of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) through pharyngeal muscle relaxation, increased duration of apnea, and hypoxia.39 In recent years, evidence has been reported that z-drugs do not increase the risk of OSA by increasing the respiratory arousal threshold and increasing genioglossus muscle responsiveness.40,41 However, uncertainty remains about its effect on severe OSA. OSA is known to be an important risk factor for cardiovascular disease based on experimental and population-based data results and is associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.42–46 Moreover, in a cohort study that identified the risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in elderly women with sleep disturbance,22 the use of z-drug was associated with an increased risk of CVD and all-cause mortality. Third, previous studies have identified an increased risk of infection and cancer associated with z-drug use.16,29,47,48 Among z-drugs, zopiclone and zaleplon are clastogenic, and clastogen can cause mutations by disruption or breakage of chromosomes.49 In addition, z-drug use may also alter immune surveillance. In a mouse study by Sanders et al,50 expression of GABAA receptors in macrophages and monocytes was confirmed, and GABAA receptor activation inhibited the release of inflammatory cytokines such as TNF-a and IL-6. The increase in infection, inflammation, and mutation due to these actions may eventually lead to cancer development and progression, which may increase the mortality rate. Fourth, z-drug use may increase the risk of psychiatric disorders such as depression, which in turn may increase the risk of suicide.51–53 Given these potential pathways, it is essential to consider safety and mortality risks when prescribing sedative–hypnotic agents, particularly in patients with chronic insomnia or comorbid psychiatric conditions. More research is needed in the future to understand the clearer mechanism.

The limitations of this study are as follows: First, this meta-analysis included only observational cohort studies. Further randomized controlled trials are needed. Second, there was a significant heterogeneity. However, the use of a random-effects model, along with rigorous sensitivity and subgroup analyses, helped account for this variability and reinforce the stability of the observed association. Third, an intrinsic limitation of meta-analysis is that the possibility of selection and recall bias in the collected studies cannot be excluded. In addition, further high-quality studies are needed to confirm and refine these findings. Fourth, drug-specific and dose–response analyses could not be performed because the included studies did not consistently report stratified mortality outcomes by individual z-drugs or provide harmonized quantitative dose information.

Nevertheless, this study has certain strengths. It provides a timely and focused synthesis of the current evidence on z-drug use and all-cause mortality. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses supported the consistency of the observed association, and no substantial publication bias was detected.

Conclusion

This study is to evaluate the association between z-drug use and all-cause mortality, and found that z-drug use was associated with approximately a 60% higher risk of mortality compared to non-users. Although z-drugs are often considered safer than benzodiazepines, the findings suggest that they may not represent a safer option for the treatment of insomnia. Therefore, healthcare providers should be cautious when prescribing z-drugs to high-risk patients.

Disclosure

The author(s) report no conflicts of interest in this work and received no financial support for the research.

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